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[ODP] And the next president of the United States...

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(2017-Jun-12, 22:27:20)Emil Wrote: Hi Bryan,

I recall this paper. Note that the result of this paper does not hold when one analyses counties (n=3100), so I would recommend rewriting this to be more weakly worded. Otherwise, it would get immediately disproved by the county paper.

Aside from that, I'll read your paper and get back to you with my thoughts.


Hi Emil,

Thanks for the comment. This wasn't something prior reviewers brought up, but I had thought about how "reliable" my results were, and therefore how strongly or weakly I could discuss them.

It occurred to me that I'm not trying to estimate population values from some sample. I have the population. There are no more cases to add, and so this study is completely descriptive versus inferential. In fact, I'm not sure my use of significance testing and p-values is even appropriate (I included them as interpretational aids in that these are what journal readers expect to see).

County-level analysis producing different results is interesting, but it does not invalidate the results I found when using U.S. states as the unit of analysis. In other words, the numbers are the numbers. The population parameters I reported are what they are. A remaining puzzle, then, is why results differ across units of analysis?

I could be wrong about this, and am interested in what others here think.

Bryan
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Messages In This Thread
[ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by bpesta22 - 2017-Jun-10, 03:38:42
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by Emil - 2017-Jun-12, 22:27:20
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by bpesta22 - 2017-Jun-17, 15:59:51
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by Emil - 2017-Jul-03, 04:55:07
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by bpesta22 - 2017-Jul-18, 16:10:41
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by Emil - 2017-Jul-19, 04:25:39
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by bpesta22 - 2017-Aug-13, 02:00:31
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by bpesta22 - 2017-Aug-28, 03:26:54
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by Emil - 2017-Aug-31, 10:04:55
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by bpesta22 - 2017-Sep-04, 17:09:27
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by Emil - 2017-Sep-25, 00:58:41
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by Peter Frost - 2017-Oct-05, 00:55:49
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by bpesta22 - 2017-Oct-09, 18:14:50
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by bpesta22 - 2017-Oct-11, 01:59:55
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by Emil - 2017-Nov-09, 14:43:05
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by Michael Woodley - 2017-Nov-20, 20:27:36
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by bpesta22 - 2017-Dec-14, 06:00:39
RE: [ODP] And the next president of the United States... - by Emil - 2017-Dec-16, 07:06:22
 
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