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Posted by: Michael Wood - 2018-May-30, 15:04:06 - Forum: Submissions - Replies (1)

Evolutionary Game Theory and Electoral Dynamics

 It is argued that there is a fundamentally different dynamic
between typical electoral competition as modeled by the Median Voter
Theorem and the recent  EU Referendum held in the UK. It is proposed 
that the replicator dynamic from
continuous evolutionary game theory can illuminate this. This informal
exposition of the ideas avoids mathematics.

The paper is an attempt to understand why the referendum was so divisive of public opinion and so long lasting.

Attached Files
.pdf   Evolutionary Game Theory and Electoral Dynamics.pdf (Size: 509.39 KB / Downloads: 26)
Posted by: MikkelKrogsholm - 2018-Jan-02, 16:09:44 - Forum: Submissions - Replies (4)

By using data collected from candidates from the danish municipal election in 2017 and creating two indexes; one for the traditional “left-right” scale and one for a new “green” scale, we see that the two follow eachother very closely and are almost interchangeable. The “reddest” parties are indeed also the “greenest”.
In a danish context therefore we can conclude that green is the new red.

Key words: left-right scale, socialism, liberalism, green movement

This article looks into the relationship between the “red” and the “green” political ideologies. By creating indexes that measure the two I look at how closely they are related in a danish context.
Is the green ideology a separate independent movement or does it actually belong as a subset to the older “left-right” ideologies that traditionally have been mostly concerned with questions of redistribution of wealth?

By creating an index to measure the postition of danish parties on the traditional “left-right” scale and a new index to measure the parties position on a “green” scale we see that these follow eachother very closely. In a danish context there does not seem to be a difference between red and green parties. They are in fact the same. Green is the new red.

Article and data:

Page lenght: 7
Word count: 1822

Posted by: Emil - 2017-Apr-24, 08:04:02 - Forum: Submissions - Replies (3)

Do exercise games increase cognitive ability? a reanalysis of Stanmore et al (2017)

Stanmore et al. (2017) meta-analyzed 17 studies examining whether electronic games that involved exercise increased cognitive ability. They estimated the effect size to be 0.44 d. The data from their study were reanalyzed, and the evidential basis for the claim was found to be much weaker than what the authors concluded. Taken as a whole, the literature is consistent with an effect size of 0, but it is not possible to be sure because the published studies used too small samples.

6 pages.


Posted by: Emil - 2016-Nov-24, 05:07:03 - Forum: Submissions - Replies (2)

Open Quantitative Sociology & Political Science

Emil O. W. Kirkegaard

Name features and social status: an exploratory study of 1,890 Danish first names

A dataset of the relative social status of 1,890 first names of persons living in Denmark was obtained from a previous study. Linguistic features were generated based mostly on n-grams augmented by regex and each name was scored on each feature. The list of features were then pruned based on their presence in the data such that features that never or almost never appeared in the data were discarded. An initial check using t-tests showed strong signal in the features taken as a whole and that this was due mostly to low status names being more similar. LASSO regression was then used to select a subset of features with above chance level validity. Finally, an OLS model was fit based on the LASSO chosen features. This model showed a cross-validated R2 of .40, equivalent to a correlation of .63. It was concluded that subtle linguistic features in first names have substantial validity for predicting relative social status in Denmark.

Key words:
first name, social status, linguistics, computational linguistics, variable selection, n-gram


~1300 words, ~5 pages.


None suggested.

Posted by: Emil - 2014-Mar-08, 17:16:48 - Forum: Submissions - No Replies

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